Category Archives: Methodology

Seven current challenges in event data

This is the promised follow-up to last week’s opus, “Stuff I Tell People About Event Data“, herein referenced as SITPAED. It is motivated by four concerns: As I have noted on multiple occasions, the odd thing about event data is … Continue reading

Posted in Methodology, Programming | 1 Comment

Stuff I tell people about event data

Every few weeks—it’s a low-frequency event with a Poisson distribution, and thus exponentially distributed inter-arrival times—someone contacts me (typically from government, an NGO or a graduate student) who has discovered event data and wants to use it for some project. … Continue reading

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Instability Forecasting Models: Seven Ethical Considerations

So, welcome, y’all, to the latest bloggy edition on an issue probably relevant to, at best, a couple hundred people, though once again it has been pointed out to me that it is likely to be read by quite a … Continue reading

Posted in Methodology, Politics | 2 Comments

Happy 60th Birthday, DARPA: you’re doomed

Today marks the mid-point of a massive self-congratulatory 60th anniversary celebration by DARPA [1]. So, DARPA, happy birthday! And many happy returns!! YEA!!! That’s a joke, right? Why yes, how did you guess? A 60th anniversary, of course, is very … Continue reading

Posted in Higher Education, Methodology | Leave a comment

What if a few grad programs were run for the benefit of the graduate students?

I’ve got a note in my calendar around the beginning of August—I was presumably in a really bad mood at [at least] some point over the past year—to retweet a link to my blog post discussing my fondness for math … Continue reading

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Witnessing a paradigm shift?

The philosopher of science Thomas Kuhn is famous—beyond an apparent penchant for throwing ashtrays [1]—for his vastly over-generalized concept of “paradigm shifts” in scientific understanding, where a set of ideas once thought unreasonable becomes the norm, exchanging this status with … Continue reading

Posted in Methodology | 1 Comment

Should an event coder be more like a baby?

Last evening, as is my wont, I was reading the current issue of Science [1]—nothing like a long article on, say, the latest findings on mantle convection beneath the Hawai’i hotspot to lull one to sleep—when an article titled “Basic … Continue reading

Posted in Methodology, Programming | 2 Comments